Exit Polls once again fail to tap the pulse of voters

Mumbai (Maharashtra) / Ranchi (Jharkhand) – In October 2024, i.e. just two months ago, ‘Exit Polls’ predictions largely failed during Haryana Assembly elections. Similarly,  after 20th November 2024 poll, ‘Exit Polls’ declared ‘Mahayuti’ as the winner in Maharashtra but gauged it winning a maximum 160-170 seats. Another evaluation by ‘Poll Diary’ also declared that ‘Mahayuti’ would win at the most 186 seats. Comparing, however, with ‘Poll Diary’, ‘Mahayuti’ has won 45 seats more (231 seats) which has exposed the hollowness of such post-poll tests. The difference in the predicted and actual seats in such Exit Polls, whether in Parliamentary elections or State Assembly elections, is raising doubt on their credibility, as being discussed on social media.

Credits : Hindustan Times

Maharashtra Actual Seats

Jharkhand Assembly elections also proved the futility of this exercise. Jharkhand Mukti Morcha and Congress Alliance won 57 seats when ‘Axis My India’ had predicted the Alliance winning 49-51 seats. Most of the Exit Polls had foretold BJP getting majority. Some had predicted a ‘hung’ position.

Credits : Hindustan Times

Jharkhand Actual Seats

The data received so far, however, shows the Jharkhand Mukti Morcha and Congress are winning more than two-third seats in the State.